Ekonomi ve Finans Bölümü Koleksiyonu
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- ItemThe Dynamics of Energy Import Dependence in the Baltic States(Düzce University, 2025-04) Şengül, Serkan; 355807This study investigates the determinants of energy import dependency in the Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania) using panel data from 1995 to 2021. Employing panel ARDL and FMOLS methods, the analysis identifies long-term relationships between energy import dependency and key factors such as renewable energy consumption, trade, carbon intensity, industrial competitiveness, and export quality. Findings reveal that while renewable energy use and high export quality reduce dependency, carbon intensity and industrialization increase it. These results highlight the Baltic states' transition towards energy independence, contributing to discussions on regional energy security, sustainability, and European integration within the framework of SDG-7.
- ItemEconomic and Demographic Effects of Public Pension Expenditures: The Case of Türkiye(Sivas Cumhuriyet University, 2025-02) Şengül, Serkan; 355807This study investigates the economic and demographic factors affecting public pension expenditures in Türkiye and provides significantinformation about the sustainability of the country's social security system. Using annual data from 1980 to 2019, the study employed the ARDL bounds testing approach to examine the short and long-run effects of GDP per capita, public debt, tax revenues, and the elderly dependency ratio on pension expenditures. The 2001 economic crisis led to a structural break, which is modeled by adding a dummy variable. The results show that GDP per capita reduces pension expenditures in the long run, reflecting the mitigating effect of economic growth on fiscal pressure. In contrast, public debt exerts a notably positive impact, highlighting the fiscal burden of pension financing through borrowing. Tax revenues show a limited but positive effect, while the elderly dependency ratio emerges as the most influential determinant, highlighting the challenges posed by the demographic transition. The short-run analysis confirms a rapid return to equilibrium, pointing to a robust error correction mechanism. The findings underscore the need for social security reforms, including measures to raise the retirement age, increase private pension participation, and address demographic challenges. Despite its contributions, the study is limited by not including variables such as health expenditures and labor market dynamics. Nevertheless, it provides a valuable framework for policymakers to develop growth-oriented policies, ensure fiscal discipline, and promote sustainable social security systems. These insights are relevant not only for Türkiye but also for other countries facing similar demographic and economic pressures, making this study an important contribution to the ongoing debate on pension system reforms.
- ItemEvaluating Environmental Performance in the Turkish Cement Industry(Springer, 2025-04) Yıldız, Hakan; Şengül, Serkan; Köprücü, Yılmaz; 355807; Tsounis, Nicholas; Vlachvei, AspasiaThe purpose of this study is to investigate the environmental performance of the Turkish cement industry. Employing the data set of 8 firms operating in the cement industry and using Data Envelopment Analysis, we estimate the CO2 efficiency in the industry. The empirical findings suggest that the average carbon efficiency in the sector is approximately 71%, indicating substantial room for efficiency enhancement through innovative production techniques and alternative fueluse. However, asignificant reduction intechnical efficiency hasbeen observable over the years. Promoting sustainable practices and investing in technological advancements can reverse this trend. Also, such policies can reduce the industry’s carbon footprint, thus it may be possible to combat greenhouse gas emissions and achieve the targets set in this regard.
- ItemExploring the Role of Financial Development on Energy Consumption in Turkiye(Adem Anbar, 2025-04) Karahan Dursun, Pınar; 414023This study investigates the impact of financial development on energy consumption in Turkiye from 1985 to 2019. To this end, the study employs Bound test, ARDL model and VECM-based causality test. In the empirical analysis, economic growth and foreign direct investment are included in the estimated model. The results of the Bound test indicate that there is cointegration between the series. The results of the estimated ARDL model show that financial development contributes to the increase in energy consumption both in the long run and in the short run. The results of the longrun ARDL model show that a 1% increase in financial development leads to an increase in energy consumption by 0.36%. The study also concludes that economic growth is a driver of energy use, while human capital negatively affects energy consumption in the long-run. The results of the causality test in the VECM framework reveal that there is a causal relationship from financial development to energy consumption in the short run, and all explanatory variables together are Granger causes of energy consumption in the long run.
- ItemGüneydoğu Asya Uluslar Birliği (ASEAN) Ekonomilerinde Finansal Gelişme ve Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımların Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi(Muhasebe ve Finansman Öğretim Üyeleri Bilim ve Araştırma Derneği, 2025-04) Canbay, Şerif; 278780Bu çalışma, Güneydoğu Asya Uluslar Birliği'nin Kurucu Beşlisi’ni oluşturan Endonezya, Malezya, Filipinler, Singapur ve Tayland’da doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve finansal gelişmişliğin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki nedensel ilişkisini incelemektedir. 1980-2021 dönemi için panel bootstrap nedensellik testi kullanılarak yapılan analiz, doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar ve finansal gelişmişlik değişkenlerinin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerinin ülkeden ülkeye değiştiğini göstermektedir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre, Endonezya’da doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar büyümeyi pozitif yönde etkilerken, finansal gelişmişlik ekonomik büyüme üzerinde negatif bir etkiye sahiptir. Malezya’da benzer şekilde doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar büyümeyi teşvik ederken, finansal gelişmişliğin büyüme üzerindeki etkisi negatif yönlüdür. Filipinler’de finansal gelişmişlik büyümeyi desteklerken, doğrudan yabancı yatırımların büyümeye olumsuz etkisi gözlemlenmiştir. Singapur ve Tayland’da hem doğrudan yabancı yatırımlar hem de finansal gelişmişlik büyüme üzerinde olumsuz etkiye sahiptir.
