Sanat ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi

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Browsing Sanat ve Sosyal Bilimler Fakültesi by Keywords "ARDL"

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    Agricultural Total Factor Productivity in Türkiye: An ARDL Analysis of Macro-Institutional Drivers
    (Okur Yazar Derneği, 2025-12) Şengül, Serkan; Karahan Dursun, Pınar; 355807; 414023
    This study examines the determinants of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) in Türkiye over the period 1991–2022 using the ARDL approach. The analysis in-corporates agricultural credit, agricultural CO₂ emissions, human capital (average years of schooling), urbanization, and agricultural value added as explanatory variables. The Bounds test confirms the existence of a cointegration relationship among the variables. The long-run ARDL model results show that agricultural credit and urbanization have negative effects on TFP, while human capital and agricultural value added contribute pos-itively. These signs are also confirmed by the short-run ARDL model. The empirical re-sults indicate that agricultural CO₂ emissions are insignificant in the long run but exert a negative short-run effect, reflecting temporary stress and inefficiencies. Overall, the study provides important policy insights, emphasizing the need for financial reforms, human capital development, rural revitalization, value-chain strengthening, and climate-smart practices to sustain agricultural productivity growth.
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    Exploring the Role of Financial Development on Energy Consumption in Turkiye
    (Adem Anbar, 2025-04) Karahan Dursun, Pınar; 414023
    This study investigates the impact of financial development on energy consumption in Turkiye from 1985 to 2019. To this end, the study employs Bound test, ARDL model and VECM-based causality test. In the empirical analysis, economic growth and foreign direct investment are included in the estimated model. The results of the Bound test indicate that there is cointegration between the series. The results of the estimated ARDL model show that financial development contributes to the increase in energy consumption both in the long run and in the short run. The results of the longrun ARDL model show that a 1% increase in financial development leads to an increase in energy consumption by 0.36%. The study also concludes that economic growth is a driver of energy use, while human capital negatively affects energy consumption in the long-run. The results of the causality test in the VECM framework reveal that there is a causal relationship from financial development to energy consumption in the short run, and all explanatory variables together are Granger causes of energy consumption in the long run.