An Ardl Model Analysis Of Turkish Airlines’ Impact As A Carrier Power On Türkiye–Africa Trade Volume

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dc.authorid0000-0002-0965-3353
dc.contributor.authorSönmezay, Mine
dc.contributor.authorid409821
dc.date.accessioned2025-11-25T06:25:59Z
dc.date.available2025-11-25T06:25:59Z
dc.date.issued2025-09
dc.departmentFakülteler, Meslek Yüksekokulu, Dış Ticaret Bölümü
dc.descriptionUlusal
dc.description.abstractTürkiye has increased its presence in the continent by using transportation diplomacy as an effective tool within the scope of the African opening policy that it has initiated since the early 2000s. This study examines Türkiye’s economic power projection in Africa through transportation diplomacy. In the study, economic power projection through diplomacy is considered as a theoretical framework; the connections between Türkiye’s transportation infrastructure investments in Africa, the expansion of its flag carrier airline network and the increase in its trade relations are analyzed with quantitative data. In the study, time series analyses are conducted on Turkish Airlines (THY) data and Türkiye-Africa foreign trade volume. The analysis was carried out with annual data for the period 2001–2024. Before proceeding to model construction, the stationarity levels of the series were examined, then the ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) method was applied and diagnostic tests of the model were performed. In the last stage, Granger causality analysis was performed. The results show that trade volume, transportation capacity and destination network act together in a long-term relationship in Türkiye’s transportation-based economic engagement towards Africa. This situation shows that the expansion of transportation infrastructure supports the trade volume between the two countries. These findings reveal that transportation diplomacy is positioned not only as a supportive but also as a guiding and sustainable foreign policy tool in Türkiye’s economic interaction with the African continent. The sustainability of this policy, its institutionalization and concrete suggestions for policy makers are discussed in the conclusion section; strategic initiatives are suggested for Türkiye to become a more permanent and effective actor in Africa in line with its mediumsized power profile. The results show that THY’s passenger transportation capacity positively affects the trade volume in the short and long term.
dc.identifier.citationSönmezay, M. (2025). An ARDL Model Analysis of Turkish Airlines’ Impact as a Carrier Power on Türkiye–Africa Trade Volume. Dokuz Eylül University Journal of Faculty of Business, 26, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.24889/ifede.1709385
dc.identifier.doi10.24889/ifede.1709385
dc.identifier.eissn3062-1119
dc.identifier.endpage19
dc.identifier.startpage1
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.mudanya.edu.tr/handle/20.500.14362/367
dc.identifier.volume26
dc.institutionauthorSönmezay, Mine
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherDokuz Eylul University
dc.relation.journalDokuz Eylül University Journal of Faculty of Business
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale- Ulusal-Hakemli Dergi- Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.rightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 3.0 United States*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/3.0/us/*
dc.subjectTransport Diplomacy
dc.subjectEconomic Power Projection
dc.subjectTürkiye–Africa Relations
dc.subjectForeign Trade and Connectivity
dc.subjectGeneral Business Administration and Marketing
dc.subjectUlaştırma Diplomasisi
dc.subjectEkonomik Güç Projeksiyonu
dc.subjectTürkiye-Afrika İlişkileri
dc.subjectDış Ticaret ve Bağlantısallık
dc.subjectGenel İşletme Yönetimi ve Pazarlama
dc.titleAn Ardl Model Analysis Of Turkish Airlines’ Impact As A Carrier Power On Türkiye–Africa Trade Volume
dc.title.alternativeTaşıyıcı Güç Olarak Thy’nin Türkiye-Afrika Ticaret Hacmine Etkisinin Ardl Modeli İle Analizi
dc.typeMakale
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